President Putin made three foundational assumptions in launching his war against Ukraine that should have been correct but were not. First, Putin assumed the invasion of Ukraine would be a quick and easy fight. Second, he assumed the world would denounce the invasion but tacitly allow it. Third, Putin assumed the war would deter NATO expansion.
Regardless of my general support for the conclusions of the Human Dimension White Paper, there are two points about the argument that serious students and practitioners should take at least a few moments to consider.