The U.S. risks being blindsided if the actual effects of climate change exceed projections and outpace its efforts to adapt, impacting readiness by degrading facilities and infrastructure while raising costs by forcing adaptation measures to be extended or re-constructed to a higher standard.
President Putin made three foundational assumptions in launching his war against Ukraine that should have been correct but were not. First, Putin assumed the invasion of Ukraine would be a quick and easy fight. Second, he assumed the world would denounce the invasion but tacitly allow it. Third, Putin assumed the war would deter NATO expansion.
